Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$669.0K
11,841 trades
Smart Whales
84
of 1,467 traders · 1 on both sides
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
2 MARKETS · $669.0K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
42 YESvs43 NO
49%51%
51% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 95% YES by dollars · 24 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$74 of $4.4K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $4.1K·NO $205YES Team
Total Invested
$7.2K
Avg Win Rate
80.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$6.7K(-93.9%)
Whales
42
G
gsasgauk4awf🥇hedged
Entry 99¢·2,559.3 shares·also $15 on NO
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
$-2544
$-2544INV $2.5K · WR 85.0%
T
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA🥈
Entry 1¢·123,060.6 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-1740
$-1740INV $1.7K · WR 88.7%
A
Anjun◆Proven🥉
Entry 1¢·57,556.1 shares
Invested
$796
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-796
$-796INV $796 · WR 58.8%
P
Pure-Threat◆Proven
Entry 1¢·44,268.8 shares
Invested
$631
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
$-631
$-631INV $631 · WR 82.0%
A
aenews2◆Proven
Entry 1¢·25,634.7 shares
Invested
$361
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
$-361
$-361INV $361 · WR 74.6%
I
imnice
Entry 1¢·27,487.1 shares
Invested
$205
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-205
$-205INV $205 · WR 75.0%
S
sciuboi
Entry 1¢·13,890.7 shares
Invested
$182
Win Rate
71.5%
Position P&L
$-182
$-182INV $182 · WR 71.5%
N
noib
Entry 1¢·12,182.3 shares
Invested
$162
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-114
$-114INV $162 · WR 57.7%
4
0x4e25605f...hedged
Entry 1¢·3,227 shares·also $163 on NO
Invested
$37
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $37 · WR 69.4%
G
gasgs6sdghdshedged
Entry 1¢·5,144.6 shares·also $5.1K on NO
Invested
$31
Win Rate
92.5%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $31 · WR 92.5%
Showing top 10 of 42
NO Team
Total Invested
$9.4K
Avg Win Rate
87.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$22.0K(+234.9%)
Whales
43
G
gasgs6sdghds🥇hedged
Entry 99¢·5,144.6 shares·also $31 on YES
Invested
$5.1K
Win Rate
92.5%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $5.1K · WR 92.5%
M
MrNoItAll🥈
Entry 74¢·1,705.3 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
89.6%
Position P&L
+$450
+$450INV $1.3K · WR 89.6%
N
nonkenny90◆Proven🥉
Entry 50¢·1,597.5 shares
Invested
$799
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
+$799
+$799INV $799 · WR 90.9%
T
tiger555
Entry 13¢·5,668.9 shares
Invested
$718
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$4951
+$4951INV $718 · WR 56.3%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 99¢·246.6 shares
Invested
$244
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $244 · WR 85.9%
4
0x4e25605f...hedged
Entry 98¢·165.8 shares·also $37 on YES
Invested
$163
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $163 · WR 69.4%
C
crystalfalls◆Proven
Entry 1¢·5,635.5 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
+$5573
+$5573INV $63 · WR 65.2%
I
Ideal-Arch
Entry 99¢·50 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
91.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $49 · WR 91.1%
T
TeemuPukki
Entry 1¢·1,712.8 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
80.4%
Position P&L
+$1690
+$1690INV $23 · WR 80.4%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 0¢·3,574.7 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$3558
+$3558INV $17 · WR 57.7%
Showing top 10 of 43
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