Crypto81 days left
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$1.05M
17,756 trades
Smart Whales
205
of 1,021 traders · 3 on both sides
Largest Company end of December 2026?
9 MARKETS · $8.09M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
72 YESvs136 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 56% YES by dollars · 31 YES vs 29 NO taking a side · 2 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$82+9 new NO$22.7K
$89 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$5 of $4.3K is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. $3 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $2.4K·NO $1.9KYES Team
Total Invested
$9.7K
Avg Win Rate
70.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$6.5K(-67.1%)
Whales
72
S
salonei53🥇hedged
Entry 97¢·2,440 shares·also $68 on NO
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
$-2363
$-2363INV $2.4K · WR 71.4%
W
Worry0790🥈hedged
Entry 97¢·2,351 shares·also $66 on NO
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
81.0%
Position P&L
$-2277
$-2277INV $2.3K · WR 81.0%
H
Hauchn🥉
Entry 3¢·42,108.5 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-1112
$-1112INV $1.3K · WR 55.6%
T
Tokor◆Proven
Entry 1¢·65,397.5 shares
Invested
$530
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-307
$-307INV $530 · WR 63.4%
1
11122
Entry 2¢·9,703.3 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-166
$-166INV $200 · WR 60.6%
S
SteveTheFish
Entry 0¢·28,047.1 shares
Invested
$126
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $126 · WR 66.3%
S
Skaliz
Entry 2¢·2,643.8 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $66 · WR 58.1%
D
donthackme
Entry 4¢·1,794.6 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-58
$-58INV $64 · WR 87.7%
P
products
Entry 4¢·1,395.8 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $50 · WR 86.6%
L
lilili99
Entry 4¢·800 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $33 · WR 57.1%
Showing top 10 of 72
NO Team
Total Invested
$87.6K
Avg Win Rate
83.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$60.2K(+68.7%)
Whales
136
I
influenz.eth🥇
Entry 59¢·30,930.8 shares
Invested
$18.4K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$12424
+$12424INV $18.4K · WR 85.8%
B
Bigggggggg🥈
Entry 37¢·24,413.7 shares
Invested
$8.9K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$15408
+$15408INV $8.9K · WR 85.8%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 44¢·16,427 shares
Invested
$7.2K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$9157
+$9157INV $7.2K · WR 72.2%
D
0xd32ce89f...◆Proven
Entry 65¢·8,722.2 shares
Invested
$5.7K
Win Rate
83.5%
Position P&L
+$3029
+$3029INV $5.7K · WR 83.5%
K
korda77
Entry 99¢·4,521.3 shares
Invested
$4.5K
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $4.5K · WR 85.2%
S
Scornful-Conductor
Entry 99¢·4,299.8 shares
Invested
$4.3K
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $4.3K · WR 86.7%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 57¢·6,194.3 shares
Invested
$3.5K
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$2646
+$2646INV $3.5K · WR 88.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 100¢·3,085.2 shares
Invested
$3.1K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3.1K · WR 85.9%
I
i18z
Entry 99¢·2,429 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $2.4K · WR 87.1%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 99¢·2,425.5 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $2.4K · WR 79.2%
Showing top 10 of 136
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 356ms