Crypto89 days left
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$994.3K
17,207 trades
Smart Whales
206
of 1,004 traders · 1 on both sides
Largest Company end of December 2026?
9 MARKETS · $7.69M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
69 YESvs138 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 77% YES by dollars · 29 YES vs 28 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$15+15 new NO$3.8K
$0 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale10 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $3.0K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $2.3K·NO $695YES Team
Total Invested
$9.6K
Avg Win Rate
71.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$8.2K(-85.4%)
Whales
69
S
salonei53🥇hedged
Entry 97¢·2,440 shares·also $68 on NO
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
$-2359
$-2359INV $2.4K · WR 71.4%
W
Worry0790🥈hedged
Entry 97¢·2,351 shares·also $66 on NO
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
81.0%
Position P&L
$-2273
$-2273INV $2.3K · WR 81.0%
P
pulseay92🥉hedged
Entry 97¢·2,077 shares·also $58 on NO
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-2008
$-2008INV $2.0K · WR 72.2%
H
Hauchn
Entry 3¢·42,108.5 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-1046
$-1046INV $1.3K · WR 55.6%
T
Tokor◆Proven
Entry 1¢·65,397.5 shares
Invested
$515
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-188
$-188INV $515 · WR 62.2%
1
11122
Entry 2¢·9,703.3 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-152
$-152INV $200 · WR 60.6%
S
SteveTheFish
Entry 0¢·22,463.4 shares
Invested
$104
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $104 · WR 66.3%
S
Skaliz
Entry 2¢·2,643.8 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
$-53
$-53INV $66 · WR 58.2%
D
donthackme
Entry 4¢·1,794.7 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-55
$-55INV $64 · WR 87.6%
L
lilili99
Entry 4¢·800 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $33 · WR 57.3%
Showing top 10 of 69
NO Team
Total Invested
$72.2K
Avg Win Rate
84.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$43.6K(+60.4%)
Whales
138
I
influenz.eth🥇
Entry 59¢·30,930.8 shares
Invested
$18.4K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$12378
+$12378INV $18.4K · WR 85.8%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 42¢·12,187.7 shares
Invested
$5.1K
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$7034
+$7034INV $5.1K · WR 72.1%
D
0xd32ce89f...🥉
Entry 99¢·4,534.1 shares
Invested
$4.5K
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $4.5K · WR 83.3%
S
Scornful-Conductor
Entry 99¢·4,299.8 shares
Invested
$4.3K
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $4.3K · WR 86.7%
K
korda77
Entry 99¢·4,117.4 shares
Invested
$4.1K
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $4.1K · WR 85.1%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 59¢·4,848.2 shares
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$1971
+$1971INV $2.9K · WR 88.1%
I
i18z
Entry 99¢·2,429 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $2.4K · WR 87.0%
P
products
Entry 99¢·2,096 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $2.1K · WR 86.5%
G
ghorrock
Entry 99¢·365.5 shares
Invested
$363
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $363 · WR 60.1%
R
rated
Entry 3¢·2,791.8 shares
Invested
$92
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$2685
+$2685INV $92 · WR 87.7%
Showing top 10 of 138
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