Alpha-Omicron · Polymarket wallet 0xeca3…8ccd

Wallet snapshot

Alpha-Omicron has made 6,716 trades on Polymarket across 180 markets, $21K in volume. Most of it is in sports (67%) and geopolitics (10%). On 172 resolved markets the win rate is 73.3%, lifetime P&L +$508. It holds 8 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $206 · 79¢ → 82¢
• Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $201 · 87¢ → 88¢
• Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?Yes · $103 · 92¢ → 92¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?No · $101 · 77¢ → 79¢
• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?Yes · $97 · 87¢ → 84¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?No · $74 · 76¢ → 78¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No · $20 · 71¢ → 73¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?No · $10 · 85¢ → 86¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No · +$82 · Oct 16, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes · +$24 · Oct 15, 2026
• Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes · -$0 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Yes · +$4 · Oct 12, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?No · +$19 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 9, 2026
• Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)

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