Flat-Bureau · Polymarket wallet 0xeb61…7e4b

Wallet snapshot

Flat-Bureau has made 683 trades on Polymarket across 315 markets, $4,155 in volume. Most of it is in sports (73%) and politics (9%). On 252 resolved markets the win rate is 76.2%, lifetime P&L +$3. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?". Last trade: Jul 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $24 · 83¢ → 85¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat?Yes · $10 · 88¢ → 92¢
• Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes · $9 · 91¢ → 96¢
• Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes · $6 · 27¢ → 18¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No · $6 · 81¢ → 98¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No · $6 · 68¢ → 91¢
• Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?No · $0 · 83¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No · -$0 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 12?No · +$1 · Jul 12, 2026
• Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 11?Yes · +$5 · Jul 12, 2026
• Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No · -$0 · Jul 12, 2026
• Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 10?Yes · +$6 · Jul 11, 2026
• Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 10?Yes · +$14 · Jul 11, 2026
• Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 10?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.