Cumbersome-Instrumentation · Polymarket wallet 0xe692…7024

Wallet snapshot

Cumbersome-Instrumentation has made 70 trades on Polymarket across 31 markets, $298 in volume. Most of it is in politics (29%) and sports (19%). On 28 resolved markets the win rate is 57.1%. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?". Last trade: Feb 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $5 · 70¢ → 78¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $5 · 65¢ → 85¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $5 · 53¢ → 52¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $4 · 54¢ → 48¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $1 · 29¢ → 22¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $1 · 34¢ → 15¢

Latest closed positions

• US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Feb 12, 2026
• Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?No · -$0 · Feb 12, 2026
• Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes · -$0 · Feb 12, 2026
• Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 9?Yes · +$3 · Feb 9, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 10?Yes · +$4 · Feb 9, 2026
• US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?Yes · -$0 · Dec 24, 2025
• Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.