iambad · Polymarket wallet 0xe5bb…7f36

Wallet snapshot

iambad has made 2,421 trades on Polymarket across 216 markets, $4,635 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (45%) and politics (11%). On 178 resolved markets the win rate is 57.9%, lifetime P&L +$20. It holds 16 open positions right now; the largest is No on "US strike on Cuba by December 31?". Last trade: Apr 19, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US strike on Cuba by December 31?No · $34 · 65¢ → 89¢
• Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No · $12 · 27¢ → 90¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No · $11 · 86¢ → 97¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $8 · 65¢ → 95¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes · $5 · 60¢ → 88¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $4 · 93¢ → 99¢
• US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes · $3 · 51¢ → 11¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $2 · 83¢ → 95¢
• Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?No · $2 · 80¢ → 97¢
• Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $1 · 75¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · -$0 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes · -$1 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No · -$0 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · -$0 · Jul 12, 2026
• Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?No · $0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No · -$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.