Polymarket wallet 0xe2f8…0ef8

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xe2f8…0ef8 has made 1,678 trades on Polymarket across 238 markets, $2,519 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (43%) and crypto (21%). On 226 resolved markets the win rate is 68.6%. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?". Last trade: Aug 31, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?No · $2 · 65¢ → 100¢
• Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No · $1 · 28¢ → 28¢
• Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $0 · 2¢ → 0¢

Latest closed positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes · -$3 · Oct 6, 2026
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 1, 2026
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 1, 2026
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes · -$4 · Aug 31, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes · -$1 · Aug 31, 2026
• Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No · +$0 · Aug 31, 2026
• Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No · +$1 · Aug 31, 2026
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · +$6 · Aug 31, 2026
• Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes · +$14 · Aug 13, 2026
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes · +$1 · Aug 12, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.