trancephorm · Polymarket wallet 0xe155…fdd4

+$40 lifetime P&L · 61.1% win rate · 18 resolved markets · 0xe155015fab94cc022f9a18f17ea7f4fbf1b7fdd4

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Wallet snapshot

trancephorm has made 49 trades on Polymarket across 25 markets, $327 in volume. Most of it is in politics (32%) and geopolitics (20%). On 18 resolved markets the win rate is 61.1%, lifetime P&L +$40. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?No · $19 · 35¢ → 32¢
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes · $19 · 33¢ → 38¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?Yes · $10 · 31¢ → 34¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $8 · 15¢ → 20¢
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?Yes · $6 · 29¢ → 31¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes · $4 · 15¢ → 14¢
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?No · $3 · 5¢ → 9¢

Latest closed positions

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?Yes · +$12 · Oct 6, 2026
Will Rayssa Furlan win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?No · -$3 · Oct 6, 2026
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$15 · Oct 5, 2026
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · +$30 · Oct 5, 2026
Will Spain vs. Croatia end in a draw?Yes · -$4 · Oct 2, 2026
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Yes · +$3 · Sep 25, 2026

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