Cestnejsa · Polymarket wallet 0xda6f…f42d

Wallet snapshot

Cestnejsa has made 326 trades on Polymarket across 213 markets, $8,177 in volume. Most of it is in crypto (38%) and economics (22%). On 209 resolved markets the win rate is 80.4%, lifetime P&L +$6. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No · $51 · 29¢ → 30¢
• Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $60M one day after launch?Yes · $48 · 96¢ → 96¢
• Will XRP reach $2.60 in October?No · $8 · 99¢ → 99¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $2 · 15¢ → 13¢

Latest closed positions

• Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Oct 8, 2026
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes · +$0 · Oct 5, 2026
• Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?No · +$4 · Oct 4, 2026
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No · +$1 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in September?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No · +$6 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No · +$0 · Sep 30, 2026

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