zaerchary · Polymarket wallet 0xd6a7…6356

Wallet snapshot

zaerchary has made 265 trades on Polymarket across 49 markets, $37K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (57%) and economics (22%). On 47 resolved markets the win rate is 100%, lifetime P&L +$228. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?". Last trade: Sep 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No · $49 · 92¢ → 48¢
• Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes · $16 · 44¢ → 52¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No · +$9 · Sep 15, 2026
• Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?No · +$6 · Aug 31, 2026
• Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes · +$8 · Aug 31, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No · -$50 · Aug 26, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No · +$4 · Aug 18, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No · +$16 · Aug 12, 2026
• Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Norway?No · +$52 · Jul 5, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No · +$3 · Jun 27, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No · +$6 · Jun 17, 2026
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?No · +$2 · Jun 12, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.