GeopoliticsResolved
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$266.1K
5,821 trades
Smart Whales
293
of 1,152 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
214 YESvs80 NO
73%27%
73% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 177 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$5 of $29.4K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $29.4K·NO $17YES Team
Total Invested
$33.6K
Avg Win Rate
79.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$10.3K(+30.6%)
Whales
214
F
flyfat88🥇
Entry 71¢·11,090.8 shares
Invested
$7.9K
Win Rate
81.1%
Position P&L
+$3160
+$3160INV $7.9K · WR 81.1%
D
d008🥈
Entry 96¢·2,787.3 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
87.2%
Position P&L
+$123
+$123INV $2.7K · WR 87.2%
C
Cooper1🥉
Entry 98¢·1,733.8 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$42
+$42INV $1.7K · WR 85.7%
M
M8880
Entry 86¢·1,967.4 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
73.5%
Position P&L
+$283
+$283INV $1.7K · WR 73.5%
J
Jjw
Entry 95¢·1,570.1 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$80
+$80INV $1.5K · WR 79.1%
E
Excellent-Mythology
Entry 92¢·1,376.5 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$113
+$113INV $1.3K · WR 79.1%
H
HarpoonSignals
Entry 100¢·1,208.6 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
93.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $1.2K · WR 93.8%
2
2d1d7318-b632-4243-bf81-f05a4105b6e4
Entry 94¢·1,215 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
+$71
+$71INV $1.1K · WR 85.6%
1
1gamma1
Entry 92¢·1,042 shares
Invested
$962
Win Rate
75.3%
Position P&L
+$79
+$79INV $962 · WR 75.3%
E
Ethan99999
Entry 86¢·1,011.8 shares
Invested
$865
Win Rate
64.8%
Position P&L
+$146
+$146INV $865 · WR 64.8%
Showing top 10 of 214
NO Team
Total Invested
$25.4K
Avg Win Rate
77.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$16.8K(-66.4%)
Whales
80
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 36¢·13,720 shares
Invested
$4.9K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-4922
$-4922INV $4.9K · WR 85.9%
P
Physical-Genie🥈hedged
Entry 106¢·3,440.7 shares·also $468 on YES
Invested
$3.7K
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
$-3654
$-3654INV $3.7K · WR 72.7%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 25¢·9,305.7 shares
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-2284
$-2284INV $2.3K · WR 87.7%
M
molodoyy◆Proven
Entry 112¢·1,761.3 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-1979
$-1979INV $2.0K · WR 63.6%
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven
Entry 30¢·5,247.9 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-1556
$-1556INV $1.6K · WR 63.4%
S
SingletonFamilyFundhedged
Entry 99¢·1,149.6 shares·also $166 on YES
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-1137
$-1137INV $1.1K · WR 69.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 12¢·3,197.6 shares
Invested
$397
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-397
$-397INV $397 · WR 79.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 17¢·2,235.7 shares
Invested
$379
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-379
$-379INV $379 · WR 86.0%
B
balthazar
Entry 12¢·2,777.5 shares
Invested
$320
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-320
$-320INV $320 · WR 72.2%
G
god83743894
Entry 6¢·1,391.2 shares
Invested
$87
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-87
$-87INV $87 · WR 85.7%
Showing top 10 of 80
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