endoption · Polymarket wallet 0xb16d…f064

Wallet snapshot

endoption has made 1,373 trades on Polymarket across 753 markets, $44K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (96%). On 746 resolved markets the win rate is 62.3%, lifetime P&L +$97. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Nov 5, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?No · $9,233 · 88¢ → 91¢
• Kimi K4 released by March 31, 2027?No · $2,742 · 79¢ → 88¢
• Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by December 31, 2026?No · $279 · 79¢ → 99¢
• Next Kimi K model (3.2+) released by December 31, 2026?No · $194 · 63¢ → 83¢
• Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027?No · $82 · 80¢ → 82¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes · -$34 · Nov 5, 2026
• Kimi K4 released by October 31, 2026?No · +$60 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 20% or higher?Yes · +$10 · Oct 27, 2026
• Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes · -$46 · Oct 27, 2026
• Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Yes · +$839 · Oct 27, 2026
• Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by September 30, 2026?No · +$2 · Oct 1, 2026

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