lucay · Polymarket wallet 0xd508…9784

Wallet snapshot

lucay has made 309 trades on Polymarket across 68 markets, $55K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (57%) and economics (29%). On 65 resolved markets the win rate is 96.9%, lifetime P&L +$173. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?". Last trade: Sep 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes · $280 · 94¢ → 98¢
• Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No · $212 · 67¢ → 95¢
• Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes · $12 · 35¢ → 6¢
• Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?No · $5 · 16¢ → 2¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No · +$3 · Sep 16, 2026
• Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?No · +$8 · Sep 16, 2026
• Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes · -$62 · Sep 16, 2026
• France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceYes · -$127 · Jul 14, 2026
• Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Switzerland?No · +$11 · Jul 12, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No · +$3 · Jul 3, 2026
• Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?No · +$5 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No · +$7 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · +$2 · Jun 24, 2026
• Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?No · +$5 · Jun 13, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.