cigarettes · Polymarket wallet 0xd218…b5c9

Wallet snapshot

cigarettes has made 3,635,113 trades on Polymarket across 145,344 markets, $281M in volume. Most of it is in sports (55%) and politics (8%). On 135,774 resolved markets the win rate is 59%, lifetime P&L -$21K. It holds 493 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5". Last trade: Oct 21, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5Yes · $26K · 90¢ → 100¢
• Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No · $18K · 33¢ → 30¢
• Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Yes · $15K · 37¢ → 63¢
• Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes · $13K · 31¢ → 30¢
• Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No · $13K · 44¢ → 45¢
• Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No · $9,298 · 95¢ → 97¢
• Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?No · $7,407 · 75¢ → 63¢
• Israeli election results in a hung parliament?No · $6,390 · 66¢ → 63¢
• Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5Yes · $6,137 · 82¢ → 100¢
• Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?No · $5,117 · 94¢ → 95¢

Latest closed positions

• Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Real Betis Balompié O/U 0.5Yes · +$14 · Oct 21, 2026
• Club Brugge KV vs. Racing Club de Lens: Club Brugge KV O/U 0.5Yes · +$33 · Oct 21, 2026
• FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: FC Bayern München O/U 0.5Yes · +$21 · Oct 21, 2026
• FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5Yes · +$33 · Oct 21, 2026
• Club Brugge KV vs. Racing Club de Lens: Club Brugge KV O/U 2.5Yes · +$1,098 · Oct 21, 2026
• Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-21?No · +$1 · Oct 21, 2026
• Spread: Club Brugge KV (-1.5)

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.