q82850325 · Polymarket wallet 0xce38…1325

Wallet snapshot

q82850325 has made 122 trades on Polymarket across 40 markets, $9,164 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (38%) and politics (20%). On 25 resolved markets the win rate is 76%, lifetime P&L +$237. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?". Last trade: Nov 1, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes · $371 · 66¢ → 82¢
• Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31?No · $313 · 90¢ → 94¢
• Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes · $211 · 73¢ → 39¢
• Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?No · $136 · 70¢ → 95¢
• Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes · $86 · 27¢ → 24¢
• Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?No · $58 · 78¢ → 90¢
• Will Toy Story 5 rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?Yes · $33 · 63¢ → 42¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · +$109 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?Yes · +$19 · Oct 31, 2026
• Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No · -$51 · Oct 27, 2026
• Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes · +$129 · Oct 27, 2026
• Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes · +$45 · Oct 27, 2026
• Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes · +$17 · Oct 27, 2026

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