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Sports80 days left

Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
68¢
68% implied
NO Price
32¢
32% implied
Volume
$26.4K
1,035 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 177 traders

Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026

21 MARKETS · $210.2K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

17 YESvs8 NO
68%32%
68% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 90% YES by dollars · 15 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 67%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$125+6 new NO$214
$80 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.6K is directional: YES $2.3K·NO $266
YES Team
Total Invested
$2.9K
Avg Win Rate
65.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$146(+5.1%)
Whales
17
T
Tempting-Tell🥇
Entry 67¢·956.2 shares
$-5INV $641 · WR 61.9%
R
Runner109🥈
Entry 66¢·812.1 shares
+$1INV $539 · WR 61.9%
1
12ffffrr🥉hedged
Entry 63¢·792.7 shares·also $373 on NO
+$36INV $503 · WR 85.0%
J
justagrosshopper
Entry 69¢·575.8 shares
$-32INV $398 · WR 55.3%
T
Tenk1994
Entry 65¢·537.1 shares
$-6INV $347 · WR 57.4%
O
Opulent-Communicant
Entry 69¢·200 shares
$-11INV $138 · WR 73.1%
A
Anjunhedged
Entry 34¢·222 shares·also $140 on NO
+$75INV $75 · WR 58.8%
D
damoooo
Entry 69¢·80 shares
$-4INV $55 · WR 73.2%
Q
q82850325
Entry 37¢·138.9 shares
+$37INV $52 · WR 75.0%
R
RobbbProven
Entry 41¢·111 shares
+$30INV $45 · WR 81.2%
Showing top 10 of 17

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 68% YES: Lionel Messi finish in the top 5…