jarofcandy · Polymarket wallet 0xce12…5df6

+$218 lifetime P&L · 75% win rate · 16 resolved markets · 0xce12a91ee48bfd8b873e013ecb56924a27585df6

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Wallet snapshot

jarofcandy has made 97 trades on Polymarket across 64 markets, $3,303 in volume. Most of it is in politics (47%) and geopolitics (14%). On 16 resolved markets the win rate is 75%, lifetime P&L +$218. It holds 48 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?". Last trade: Nov 4, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?No · $99 · 78¢ → 99¢
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes · $96 · 12¢ → 96¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes · $95 · 69¢ → 95¢
Will any 2027 Oscar award result in a tie?No · $88 · 82¢ → 88¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?No · $81 · 72¢ → 81¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes · $80 · 85¢ → 80¢
Will none of these people be impeached by December 31, 2027?No · $77 · 74¢ → 77¢
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?No · $77 · 78¢ → 77¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?Yes · $62 · 33¢ → 62¢
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?Yes · $57 · 61¢ → 56¢

Latest closed positions

Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Yes · $0 · Nov 4, 2026
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?No · +$23 · Nov 4, 2026
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes · +$27 · Nov 4, 2026
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No · +$27 · Nov 4, 2026
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-03 House seat?Yes · +$16 · Nov 4, 2026
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?Yes · +$8 · Nov 4, 2026
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?

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