xcnstrategy · Polymarket wallet 0xcce2…d58b

Wallet snapshot

xcnstrategy has made 2,105 trades on Polymarket across 223 markets, $865K in volume. Most of it is in economics (22%) and politics (20%). On 204 resolved markets the win rate is 83.3%, lifetime P&L +$88K. It holds 14 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 3, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $29K · 81¢ → 95¢
• China x Japan military clash before 2027?No · $26K · 86¢ → 96¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?No · $19K · 85¢ → 96¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $9,795 · 87¢ → 98¢
• SBF released from custody in 2026?No · $9,790 · 87¢ → 98¢
• New pandemic in 2026?No · $8,874 · 87¢ → 96¢
• Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No · $7,892 · 91¢ → 99¢
• China coup attempt before 2027?No · $5,913 · 90¢ → 96¢
• Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · $4,943 · 89¢ → 97¢
• Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?No · $2,042 · 89¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No · +$530 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes · +$2,102 · Sep 17, 2026
• Fed rate hike in 2026?No · -$12K · Sep 16, 2026
• Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes · +$162 · Sep 15, 2026
• Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No · +$1 · Sep 15, 2026
• Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?No · +$300 · Jul 2, 2026
• Xi Jinping out by June 30?No · +$239 · Jul 2, 2026

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