-Jarvis- · Polymarket wallet 0xc984…1443

Wallet snapshot

-Jarvis- has made 4,148 trades on Polymarket across 1,099 markets, $92K in volume. Most of it is in sports (83%). On 1,080 resolved markets the win rate is 92.9%, lifetime P&L +$13K. It holds 8 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: Oct 26, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $688 · 96¢ → 98¢
• Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No · $195 · 90¢ → 89¢
• Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?No · $97 · 94¢ → 97¢
• Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?No · $92 · 94¢ → 92¢
• Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No · $29 · 93¢ → 95¢
• Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No · $29 · 95¢ → 97¢
• Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?No · $3 · 35¢ → 64¢
• Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster?No · $2 · 35¢ → 32¢

Latest closed positions

• Spread: Wizards (-3.5)Yes · -$1 · Oct 31, 2026
• Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No · +$1 · Oct 31, 2026
• Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No · +$2 · Oct 31, 2026
• Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?No · +$1 · Oct 23, 2026
• Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)No · +$0 · Oct 23, 2026
• Scoot Henderson: Points O/U 10.5No · -$1 · Oct 7, 2026
• Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · -$5 · Oct 7, 2026

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