Scratchy-Riverbed-Fence · Polymarket wallet 0xc84b…6023

Wallet snapshot

Scratchy-Riverbed-Fence has made 507 trades on Polymarket across 79 markets, $1,223 in volume. Most of it is in sports (60%) and geopolitics (23%). On 49 resolved markets the win rate is 61.2%, lifetime P&L -$11. It holds 9 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?No · $4 · 81¢ → 80¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes · $4 · 92¢ → 88¢
• Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Yes · $2 · 58¢ → 65¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No · $2 · 30¢ → 33¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?No · $2 · 9¢ → 13¢
• Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No · $2 · 95¢ → 95¢
• Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31?No · $1 · 38¢ → 43¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes · $1 · 13¢ → 11¢
• US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?No · $1 · 28¢ → 23¢

Latest closed positions

• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?Yes · -$5 · Oct 12, 2026
• Magic vs. CavaliersYes · -$9 · Oct 11, 2026
• Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?No · -$0 · Oct 11, 2026
• Texas vs. OklahomaYes · -$3 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?Yes · +$0 · Oct 7, 2026
• Samsun: Cagla Buyukakcay vs Linda KlimovicovaYes · +$1 · Oct 7, 2026
• Will United States win on 2026-10-06?Yes · +$7 · Oct 7, 2026

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