Warfield · Polymarket wallet 0xc421…c7b9

Wallet snapshot

Warfield has made 713 trades on Polymarket across 162 markets, $43K in volume. Most of it is in politics (40%) and geopolitics (22%). On 149 resolved markets the win rate is 87.9%, lifetime P&L +$7,544. It holds 10 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?". Last trade: Oct 9, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $48 · 84¢ → 87¢
• Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $10 · 98¢ → 99¢
• Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $10 · 97¢ → 99¢
• Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $9 · 96¢ → 95¢
• Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $9 · 96¢ → 94¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $9 · 83¢ → 91¢
• Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $9 · 97¢ → 86¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $2 · 31¢ → 22¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $1 · 35¢ → 14¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $1 · 18¢ → 9¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes · +$3 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?Yes · +$1 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will PvdD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No · +$0 · Mar 10, 2026
• Will VVD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?Yes · +$0 · Mar 10, 2026
• Will SP be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No · +$0 · Mar 10, 2026
• Will SGP be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No · +$0 · Mar 10, 2026

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