Woeful-Owner · Polymarket wallet 0xbfba…f650

Wallet snapshot

Woeful-Owner has made 107 trades on Polymarket across 44 markets, $2,154 in volume. Most of it is in tech (48%) and geopolitics (11%). On 32 resolved markets the win rate is 78.1%, lifetime P&L +$47. It holds 11 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes · $290 · 49¢ → 85¢
• Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?Yes · $101 · 76¢ → 77¢
• Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Yes · $77 · 58¢ → 89¢
• Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Yes · $17 · 52¢ → 22¢
• Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Yes · $17 · 78¢ → 97¢
• Will US annex any territory in 2026?Yes · $6 · 21¢ → 6¢
• Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes · $4 · 22¢ → 3¢
• Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes · $3 · 54¢ → 22¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes · $2 · 70¢ → 8¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes · $1 · 55¢ → 5¢

Latest closed positions

• Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Yes · +$22 · Oct 13, 2026
• Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?Yes · +$5 · Oct 13, 2026
• Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 15, 2026?Yes · +$8 · Sep 28, 2026
• Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes · +$11 · Sep 28, 2026
• Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes · +$23 · Sep 22, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?No · +$20 · Sep 6, 2026
• Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?

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