Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$14.8K
504 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 131 traders
Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs3 NO
79%21%
79% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $134 is directional: YES $134·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$506
Avg Win Rate
76.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.3K(+265.3%)
Whales
11
T
turtle911🥇hedged
Entry 18¢·1,338.8 shares·also $1.2K on NO
Invested
$237
Win Rate
73.5%
Position P&L
+$1102
+$1102INV $237 · WR 73.5%
K
kl1v🥈
Entry 50¢·189.8 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
+$95
+$95INV $95 · WR 80.8%
R
rpontici🥉
Entry 96¢·54.1 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $52 · WR 88.8%
W
Woeful-Owner
Entry 73¢·41.7 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
78.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $30 · WR 78.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $30 · WR 72.0%
N
NeevS
Entry 87¢·30 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $26 · WR 88.8%
P
parameter1
Entry 93¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $19 · WR 62.5%
.
.brain.
Entry 88¢·8.3 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $7 · WR 64.4%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 96¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
67.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 67.8%
F
F00Fi
Entry 3¢·100 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
+$97
+$97INV $3 · WR 70.6%
Showing top 10 of 11
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
73.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.2K(-100.0%)
Whales
3
T
turtle911🥇hedged
Entry 89¢·1,323.2 shares·also $237 on YES
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
73.5%
Position P&L
$-1178
$-1178INV $1.2K · WR 73.5%
T
toomanyfent🥈
Entry 86¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $17 · WR 58.9%
W
Wicked-Porthole🥉
Entry 111¢·1.7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 64.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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