fairtea · Polymarket wallet 0xbf73…0436

Wallet snapshot

fairtea has made 3,476 trades on Polymarket across 434 markets, $120K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (41%) and politics (18%). On 417 resolved markets the win rate is 70.3%. It holds 11 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?". Last trade: Jul 31, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No · $378 · 74¢ → 95¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $248 · 74¢ → 83¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No · $196 · 96¢ → 98¢
• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No · $195 · 89¢ → 97¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No · $194 · 91¢ → 97¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No · $193 · 95¢ → 97¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No · $191 · 65¢ → 96¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?No · $179 · 64¢ → 90¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $95 · 49¢ → 95¢
• Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No · $73 · 79¢ → 78¢

Latest closed positions

• Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?No · +$22 · Oct 1, 2026
• NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No · +$27 · Sep 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$39 · Aug 19, 2026
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes · +$11 · Aug 19, 2026
• Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No · +$186 · Jul 4, 2026
• Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?No · +$74 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.