scarlet-celestial · Polymarket wallet 0xb7ac…f13a

Wallet snapshot

scarlet-celestial has made 120 trades on Polymarket across 53 markets, $1,711 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (49%) and tech (19%). On 42 resolved markets the win rate is 83.3%, lifetime P&L +$57. It holds 8 open positions right now; the largest is No on "2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House". Last trade: Oct 4, 2026.

Largest open positions

• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo · $39 · 93¢ → 91¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No · $7 · 65¢ → 87¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No · $6 · 87¢ → 99¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes · $5 · 67¢ → 62¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes · $3 · 82¢ → 44¢
• Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes · $1 · 42¢ → 23¢
• US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes · $1 · 46¢ → 16¢
• Trump impeached by end of 2026?Yes · $0 · 11¢ → 2¢

Latest closed positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No · +$4 · Sep 9, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No · +$0 · Aug 22, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No · +$10 · Aug 4, 2026
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No · +$1 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No · +$1 · Jul 31, 2026
• Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes · +$0 · Jul 23, 2026
• Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.