MmmmGrayons · Polymarket wallet 0xb56d…d20b

Wallet snapshot

MmmmGrayons has made 10,282 trades on Polymarket across 342 markets, $28K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (33%) and politics (19%). On 282 resolved markets the win rate is 55.7%. It holds 30 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?". Last trade: Mar 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No · $92 · 82¢ → 97¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $67 · 73¢ → 78¢
• US strike on Mexico by December 31?No · $24 · 71¢ → 96¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $19 · 28¢ → 22¢
• US recession by end of 2026?No · $18 · 75¢ → 93¢
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $12 · 84¢ → 85¢
• Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes · $12 · 57¢ → 95¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $12 · 81¢ → 85¢
• Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No · $9 · 68¢ → 90¢
• Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?No · $8 · 32¢ → 76¢

Latest closed positions

• Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?No · -$0 · Jul 2, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes · +$7 · Jul 1, 2026
• Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?Yes · -$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No · -$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Epstein client list released by June 30?Yes · -$33 · Jul 1, 2026
• Epstein client list released by June 30?No · -$1 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No · +$2 · Jul 1, 2026

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