Polymarket wallet 0xb4f6…dbe4

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xb4f6…dbe4 has made 227 trades on Polymarket across 109 markets, $434 in volume. Most of it is in economics (14%) and politics (11%). On 99 resolved markets the win rate is 57.6%, lifetime P&L +$16. It holds 9 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?No · $2 · 40¢ → 62¢
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?Yes · $1 · 55¢ → 78¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Yes · $1 · 24¢ → 34¢
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?Yes · $1 · 45¢ → 59¢
• Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $107.50 Week of October 12 2026?Yes · $1 · 64¢ → 81¢
• Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of October 12 2026?No · $1 · 72¢ → 91¢
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?No · $1 · 41¢ → 31¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?Yes · $0 · 32¢ → 14¢
• Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of October 12 2026?Yes · $0 · 30¢ → 10¢

Latest closed positions

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 11, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 Week of October 5 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of October 5 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of October 5 2026?No · -$1 · Oct 8, 2026
• WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 7?No · +$1 · Oct 8, 2026
• Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of October 5 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.