🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In
Tech/AI1 days left

Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
41¢
41% implied
NO Price
59¢
59% implied
Volume
$31.1K
1,026 trades
Smart Whales
85
of 282 traders · 5 on both sides

Gemini 4.0 released by...?

8 MARKETS · $651.0K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

30 YESvs60 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 64% YES by dollars · 22 YES vs 52 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 71%· net of hedges
+44 new YES$2.5K+98 new NO$5.0K
$1.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 20 buyers — left out of momentum
10 smart whales42 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$67 of $3.6K is hedged across different prices by 5 wallets. True directional: YES $2.3K·NO $1.3K
YES Team
Total Invested
$2.4K
Avg Win Rate
64.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$577(+23.8%)
Whales
30
C
Contentious-DinnerdateProven🥇
Entry 35¢·2,500 shares
+$273INV $865 · WR 56.0%
A
Agile-Catamaran🥈
Entry 40¢·1,333.6 shares
+$71INV $536 · WR 83.3%
H
hell0pia🥉
Entry 37¢·1,328.4 shares
+$116INV $488 · WR 58.8%
B
bignewsagencypro
Entry 34¢·279.3 shares
+$32INV $95 · WR 73.9%
C
CT-test
Entry 35¢·263.7 shares
+$27INV $93 · WR 64.3%
R
robert-mukhametov
Entry 37¢·205.2 shares
+$17INV $76 · WR 59.7%
D
Dondigidin
Entry 30¢·195.2 shares
+$30INV $58 · WR 64.4%
H
hithitfar
Entry 49¢·113.8 shares
$-9INV $56 · WR 59.7%
0
0561hedged
Entry 59¢·89.2 shares·also $35 on NO
$-16INV $52 · WR 74.1%
B
BrownBeesProven
Entry 26¢·106.3 shares
+$21INV $28 · WR 60.7%
Showing top 10 of 30

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 262ms
Smart money 35% YES: Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026