danielbrod · Polymarket wallet 0xca76…d365

−$685 lifetime P&L · 74.8% win rate · 1,247 resolved markets · 0xca76370f537b164859fce4979ce4eff374c3d365

LIVE · AUTO-REFRESH 60S

Wallet snapshot

danielbrod has made 3,875 trades on Polymarket across 1,259 markets, $80K in volume. Most of it is in sports (21%). On 1,247 resolved markets the win rate is 74.8%, lifetime P&L -$685. It holds 11 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $795 · 84¢ → 80¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?Yes · $500 · 94¢ → 100¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No · $482 · 95¢ → 96¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $453 · 91¢ → 91¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No · $385 · 73¢ → 77¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $318 · 65¢ → 64¢
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?No · $191 · 90¢ → 80¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo · $181 · 94¢ → 91¢
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?No · $149 · 69¢ → 41¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes · $141 · 62¢ → 71¢

Latest closed positions

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · -$106 · Oct 10, 2026
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No · -$160 · Oct 10, 2026
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes · +$91 · Sep 30, 2026
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes · +$17 · Sep 30, 2026
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?Yes · +$8 · Sep 26, 2026
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes · +$2 · Sep 26, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.