Understated-Average · Polymarket wallet 0xaf98…2649

Wallet snapshot

Understated-Average has made 1,324 trades on Polymarket across 806 markets, $12K in volume. Most of it is in sports (59%) and crypto (14%). On 641 resolved markets the win rate is 67.6%, lifetime P&L -$110. It holds 19 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Jul 20, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes · $10 · 59¢ → 23¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes · $7 · 40¢ → 8¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes · $3 · 28¢ → 13¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes · $2 · 30¢ → 4¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes · $1 · 49¢ → 3¢
• Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?Yes · $1 · 20¢ → 8¢
• Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Yes · $1 · 46¢ → 4¢
• SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Yes · $1 · 28¢ → 4¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes · $1 · 66¢ → 9¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes · $0 · 2¢ → 0¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$36 · Sep 7, 2026
• Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes · +$0 · Sep 7, 2026
• Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes · +$46 · Jul 20, 2026
• Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes · +$0 · Jul 20, 2026
• Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes · -$1 · Jul 20, 2026
• Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?Yes · +$0 · Jul 5, 2026
• US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes · +$6 · Jul 5, 2026

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