FabbieInOxford · Polymarket wallet 0xae46…79a6

Wallet snapshot

FabbieInOxford has made 825 trades on Polymarket across 114 markets, $108K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (75%) and politics (10%). On 104 resolved markets the win rate is 61.5%. It holds 11 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: May 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $3,626 · 86¢ → 98¢
• US recession by end of 2026?No · $3,532 · 71¢ → 93¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No · $2,427 · 86¢ → 98¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $282 · 77¢ → 95¢
• US recession by end of 2026?Yes · $255 · 33¢ → 8¢
• Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $174 · 94¢ → 87¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $159 · 70¢ → 78¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes · $80 · 10¢ → 2¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes · $56 · 9¢ → 2¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $45 · 29¢ → 22¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$84 · Oct 9, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No · -$21 · Jul 7, 2026
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No · +$41 · Jul 1, 2026
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No · $0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No · +$1,045 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No · -$19 · Jun 21, 2026
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.