segment3 · Polymarket wallet 0xa10c…b2de

Wallet snapshot

segment3 has made 664 trades on Polymarket across 38 markets, $338K in volume. Most of it is in politics (61%) and geopolitics (32%). On 10 resolved markets the win rate is 60%, lifetime P&L +$8,108. It holds 23 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?". Last trade: Oct 26, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes · $40K · 72¢ → 74¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $15K · 73¢ → 74¢
• Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No · $9,793 · 86¢ → 100¢
• Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No · $4,346 · 69¢ → 100¢
• Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes · $3,600 · 73¢ → 72¢
• Will Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31?No · $3,479 · 98¢ → 100¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $2,805 · 83¢ → 94¢
• Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes · $2,370 · 84¢ → 79¢
• Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No · $2,235 · 74¢ → 75¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes · $1,965 · 66¢ → 66¢

Latest closed positions

• Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Yes · +$1,346 · Oct 27, 2026
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes · +$353 · Oct 26, 2026
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?No · +$2,044 · Oct 26, 2026
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes · -$4,727 · Oct 26, 2026
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · +$8 · Oct 26, 2026
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

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