Trained-Toaster · Polymarket wallet 0x9cef…e7cf

Wallet snapshot

Trained-Toaster has made 56 trades on Polymarket across 36 markets, $389 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (33%) and crypto (6%). On 28 resolved markets the win rate is 64.3%, lifetime P&L +$9. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?". Last trade: Jul 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?Yes · $3 · 13¢ → 4¢
• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes · $1 · 13¢ → 3¢
• Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Yes · $1 · 9¢ → 6¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes · $1 · 4¢ → 2¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes · $0 · 42¢ → 16¢
• Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes · $0 · 8¢ → 2¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes · -$7 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?Yes · +$0 · May 9, 2026
• Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 39.0 on May 8, 2026?Yes · +$1 · May 9, 2026
• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes · +$4 · May 9, 2026
• US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes · -$10 · Apr 30, 2026
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Apr 30, 2026
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?

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