Karasius5 · Polymarket wallet 0x947a…8d79

Wallet snapshot

Karasius5 has made 206 trades on Polymarket across 28 markets, $26K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (68%) and politics (29%). On 24 resolved markets the win rate is 70.8%. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?". Last trade: Jun 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $1 · 83¢ → 91¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $1 · 50¢ → 49¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $0 · 20¢ → 9¢

Latest closed positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No · +$487 · Jul 7, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No · +$205 · Jul 1, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No · -$167 · Jun 9, 2026
• Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes · -$11 · Jun 4, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No · +$13 · Apr 1, 2026
• Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?Yes · +$91 · Mar 20, 2026
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No · +$187 · Mar 4, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?No · -$18 · Mar 1, 2026
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes · +$12 · Mar 1, 2026
• US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No · -$30 · Feb 28, 2026

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