SpicyMoon · Polymarket wallet 0x9144…a412

Wallet snapshot

SpicyMoon has made 64 trades on Polymarket across 18 markets, $8,733 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (72%) and sports (11%). On 16 resolved markets the win rate is 75%, lifetime P&L +$1,205. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is Yes on "US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?". Last trade: Oct 9, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes · $754 · 82¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?Yes · -$63 · Oct 13, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No · +$113 · Oct 1, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No · +$57 · Sep 4, 2026
• Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)No · +$29 · Aug 21, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No · +$21 · Jul 7, 2026
• Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?No · +$62 · Jun 16, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No · +$97 · Jun 8, 2026
• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes · +$87 · May 9, 2026
• Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No · +$186 · Jan 1, 2026
• Nothing Ever Happens: Russia EditionYes · +$97 · Jan 1, 2026

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