L460 · Polymarket wallet 0x8fb0…ece3

Wallet snapshot

L460 has made 1,276 trades on Polymarket across 44 markets, $104K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (61%) and geopolitics (32%). On 23 resolved markets the win rate is 82.6%, lifetime P&L +$566. It holds 12 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $198 · 98¢ → 99¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $196 · 97¢ → 98¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $195 · 99¢ → 100¢
• Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $194 · 98¢ → 99¢
• Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · $194 · 97¢ → 97¢
• Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $193 · 96¢ → 97¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No · $193 · 97¢ → 96¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $192 · 97¢ → 96¢
• Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?No · $183 · 93¢ → 92¢
• Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?No · $147 · 89¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No · +$8 · Oct 8, 2026
• Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?No · +$6 · Oct 3, 2026
• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No · +$9 · Oct 2, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboNo · +$6 · Oct 2, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?No · +$4 · Sep 28, 2026
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$20 · Aug 19, 2026
• Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.