rouxshan · Polymarket wallet 0x8db5…3c8b

Wallet snapshot

rouxshan has made 557 trades on Polymarket across 106 markets, $17K in volume. Most of it is in tech (22%) and politics (20%). On 92 resolved markets the win rate is 32.6%, lifetime P&L -$396. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?". Last trade: Nov 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?Yes · $905 · 62¢ → 46¢
• Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026?No · $75 · 4¢ → 7¢
• Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?Yes · $37 · 68¢ → 74¢

Latest closed positions

• Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?No · +$291 · Nov 12, 2026
• Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?No · +$433 · Nov 12, 2026
• Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?No · +$248 · Nov 12, 2026
• Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?Yes · +$0 · Nov 6, 2026
• Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?No · -$20 · Nov 5, 2026
• Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · +$13 · Nov 4, 2026
• No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?No · +$17 · Nov 3, 2026
• Will Donald Trump publicly praise Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026?No · +$35 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will Trump praise Allah again by October 31?No · +$35 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Yes · -$14 · Oct 31, 2026

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