quantr · Polymarket wallet 0x8cd2…0d59

Wallet snapshot

quantr has made 181 trades on Polymarket across 86 markets, $6,729 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (40%) and politics (27%). On 77 resolved markets the win rate is 63.6%, lifetime P&L +$90. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?No · $723 · 76¢ → 98¢
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?No · $317 · 74¢ → 80¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No · $136 · 85¢ → 95¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No · +$26 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes · -$10 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No · +$11 · Sep 25, 2026
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No · +$22 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Yes · +$47 · Sep 5, 2026
• Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No · -$1 · Aug 1, 2026
• Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No · +$0 · Jun 16, 2026
• Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No · +$1 · Jun 1, 2026
• Spurs vs. ThunderYes · +$126 · May 31, 2026

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