Resolved80 days left
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$162.4K
4,688 trades
Smart Whales
157
of 799 traders
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
2 MARKETS · $975.3K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
51 YESvs106 NO
33%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 62% YES by dollars · 27 YES vs 15 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.1K is directional: YES $1.3K·NO $795YES Team
Total Invested
$1.9K
Avg Win Rate
63.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.3K(-71.5%)
Whales
51
B
biggfishh🥇
Entry 21¢·1,373.7 shares
Invested
$289
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
$-277
$-277INV $289 · WR 59.1%
W
Whyisy🥈
Entry 36¢·572.9 shares
Invested
$205
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
$-200
$-200INV $205 · WR 72.7%
F
Folletin🥉
Entry 22¢·824 shares
Invested
$178
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-169
$-169INV $178 · WR 69.8%
O
occasionalAwareness◆Proven
Entry 4¢·4,453.7 shares
Invested
$163
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
$-116
$-116INV $163 · WR 63.1%
B
Bikesarethebest◆Proven
Entry 24¢·618.3 shares
Invested
$149
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-144
$-144INV $149 · WR 56.3%
C
Contentious-Dinnerdate◆Proven
Entry 10¢·1,365.1 shares
Invested
$139
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-125
$-125INV $139 · WR 56.0%
I
ImJustKen
Entry 5¢·2,065.6 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-73
$-73INV $95 · WR 61.2%
9
98Ddd05Cde45d05C4fC06f4093759FFDDFSFFSDDVF
Entry 29¢·245 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-67
$-67INV $70 · WR 63.4%
S
Started-with-20-USD◆Proven
Entry 22¢·257.8 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
$-55
$-55INV $58 · WR 59.0%
I
itsjustcheddar
Entry 22¢·88.4 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $20 · WR 80.8%
Showing top 10 of 51
NO Team
Total Invested
$12.9K
Avg Win Rate
81.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$11.1K(+86.1%)
Whales
106
B
Bigggggggg🥇
Entry 57¢·2,358 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$992
+$992INV $1.3K · WR 85.8%
R
rated🥈
Entry 36¢·2,894.8 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$1818
+$1818INV $1.1K · WR 87.7%
G
gmgmgmgmg🥉
Entry 49¢·1,712.1 shares
Invested
$845
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$854
+$854INV $845 · WR 79.2%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 88¢·795 shares
Invested
$699
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$90
+$90INV $699 · WR 88.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 29¢·2,319.1 shares
Invested
$682
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$1620
+$1620INV $682 · WR 72.2%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 88¢·687.3 shares
Invested
$608
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$74
+$74INV $608 · WR 88.7%
M
melchior1248
Entry 87¢·662.8 shares
Invested
$578
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$79
+$79INV $578 · WR 69.2%
S
suavejonas
Entry 89¢·636.5 shares
Invested
$566
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $566 · WR 74.2%
J
JordanMooney◆Proven
Entry 93¢·518.3 shares
Invested
$483
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $483 · WR 85.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 82¢·528.4 shares
Invested
$434
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$91
+$91INV $434 · WR 79.6%
Showing top 10 of 106
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