Resolved
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$165.1K
4,955 trades
Smart Whales
146
of 793 traders
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
2 MARKETS · $978.0K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
40 YESvs106 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 35% YES by dollars · 14 YES vs 13 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $333 is directional: YES $117·NO $216YES Team
Total Invested
$1.7K
Avg Win Rate
68.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.2K(-69.4%)
Whales
40
E
EchoMinji🥇hedged
Entry 93¢·600 shares·also $42 on NO
Invested
$558
Win Rate
64.0%
Position P&L
$-553
$-553INV $558 · WR 64.0%
S
shuiliflower🥈hedged
Entry 93¢·566 shares·also $40 on NO
Invested
$526
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
$-522
$-522INV $526 · WR 71.4%
S
Shadowy-Playroom🥉
Entry 10¢·507.7 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $50 · WR 72.7%
K
K1ngN0rth◆Proven
Entry 7¢·291.3 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $20 · WR 65.2%
N
neverhackme
Entry 14¢·87 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $12 · WR 75.8%
I
itsjustcheddar
Entry 14¢·69 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 80.8%
P
ProfessionalPunterhedged
Entry 1¢·1,000.1 shares·also $855 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $6 · WR 74.6%
1
0x1ead9958...
Entry 9¢·50.9 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 60.9%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 4¢·96.8 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $4 · WR 66.8%
Y
yzhaobk-nrt
Entry 5¢·76.2 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $4 · WR 87.5%
Showing top 10 of 40
NO Team
Total Invested
$13.9K
Avg Win Rate
81.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$11.8K(+84.9%)
Whales
106
R
rated🥇
Entry 31¢·2,894.6 shares
Invested
$891
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$1979
+$1979INV $891 · WR 87.7%
P
ProfessionalPunter🥈hedged
Entry 86¢·999.9 shares·also $6 on YES
Invested
$855
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
+$137
+$137INV $855 · WR 74.6%
G
gmgmgmgmg🥉
Entry 50¢·1,704.5 shares
Invested
$853
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$837
+$837INV $853 · WR 79.2%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 42¢·1,922.7 shares
Invested
$813
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1094
+$1094INV $813 · WR 85.8%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 98¢·823 shares
Invested
$805
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $805 · WR 89.0%
B
balthazar
Entry 34¢·2,288.5 shares
Invested
$772
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$1497
+$1497INV $772 · WR 72.2%
C
Cookedtan◆Proven
Entry 31¢·2,418.8 shares
Invested
$740
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$1659
+$1659INV $740 · WR 85.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 97¢·732 shares
Invested
$712
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $712 · WR 87.7%
M
melchior1248
Entry 97¢·662.7 shares
Invested
$641
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $641 · WR 69.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 95¢·629.4 shares
Invested
$596
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $596 · WR 79.6%
Showing top 10 of 106
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