Geopolitics3 days left

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?

YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$137.7K
2,554 trades
Smart Whales
112
of 402 traders · 1 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

34 YESvs79 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 11 YES vs 48 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 96%· net of hedges
+20 new YES$266+14 new NO$6.7K
$44 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$14 of $16.3K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $925·NO $15.4K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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