Polymarket wallet 0x8cb1…aff5

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x8cb1…aff5 has made 483 trades on Polymarket across 106 markets, $2,391 in volume. Most of it is in sports (56%) and geopolitics (28%). On 99 resolved markets the win rate is 70.7%, lifetime P&L +$39. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?Yes · $7 · 71¢ → 69¢
• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No · $4 · 97¢ → 97¢
• Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?No · $3 · 91¢ → 92¢
• Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?No · $1 · 75¢ → 68¢
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes · $1 · 2¢ → 1¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Yes · +$5 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Sep 22, 2026
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes · +$1 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No · +$0 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?No · +$9 · Sep 14, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?No · $0 · Jul 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.