436fd · Polymarket wallet 0x85c2…65fc

Wallet snapshot

436fd has made 569 trades on Polymarket across 193 markets, $2,507 in volume. Most of it is in sports (70%) and politics (14%). On 147 resolved markets the win rate is 75.5%. It holds 22 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?". Last trade: Apr 24, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $30 · 70¢ → 86¢
• Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · $26 · 91¢ → 97¢
• Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No · $15 · 81¢ → 97¢
• Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?No · $8 · 75¢ → 98¢
• Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $7 · 95¢ → 93¢
• Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $6 · 93¢ → 85¢
• Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $6 · 98¢ → 98¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $6 · 81¢ → 91¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $5 · 30¢ → 14¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $3 · 78¢ → 78¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No · -$0 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No · -$0 · Jul 20, 2026
• Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No · -$0 · Jul 20, 2026
• Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No · -$0 · Jul 12, 2026
• Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No · -$0 · Jul 7, 2026
• Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No · -$0 · Jul 6, 2026
• Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No · -$0 · Jul 4, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.