iamnotaname · Polymarket wallet 0x842b…0af4

Wallet snapshot

iamnotaname has made 125 trades on Polymarket across 81 markets, $507 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (91%). On 75 resolved markets the win rate is 72%, lifetime P&L +$33. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?". Last trade: Jul 23, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?No · $7 · 83¢ → 91¢
• Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No · $6 · 83¢ → 92¢
• Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No · $5 · 90¢ → 98¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes · $1 · 11¢ → 6¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No · $0 · 25¢ → 12¢

Latest closed positions

• Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 1, 2026
• US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?No · +$1 · Aug 1, 2026
• Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?Yes · +$4 · Jul 30, 2026
• Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?Yes · +$0 · Jul 30, 2026
• US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Yes · +$1 · Jul 30, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?Yes · +$1 · Jul 23, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.