Phony-Constraint · Polymarket wallet 0x80da…9bc6

Wallet snapshot

Phony-Constraint has made 2,515 trades on Polymarket across 1,127 markets, $14K in volume. Most of it is in sports (64%). On 1,032 resolved markets the win rate is 57.2%, lifetime P&L -$146. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?". Last trade: Sep 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $2 · 1¢ → 0¢
• Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $1 · 1¢ → 0¢
• Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $0 · 1¢ → 0¢

Latest closed positions

• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?No · +$8 · Oct 1, 2026
• Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Subtop De France (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular SeasonYes · -$0 · Sep 28, 2026
• US x China tariff agreement by December 31?Yes · +$2 · Sep 27, 2026
• Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026?No · -$1 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes · +$4 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes · -$2 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?No · -$0 · Sep 14, 2026
• Will Alex de Minaur Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankingsNo · +$2 · Sep 11, 2026
• Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes · -$1 · Sep 11, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.