Damp-Nickel · Polymarket wallet 0x7fa3…a12a

Wallet snapshot

Damp-Nickel has made 310 trades on Polymarket across 64 markets, $14K in volume. Most of it is in sports (56%) and geopolitics (19%). On 47 resolved markets the win rate is 55.3%, lifetime P&L +$41. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?". Last trade: Nov 4, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?No · $265 · 95¢ → 96¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $173 · 86¢ → 90¢
• Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?Yes · $95 · 19¢ → 32¢
• Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes · $54 · 93¢ → 90¢

Latest closed positions

• Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?No · +$8 · Nov 2, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · -$5 · Oct 28, 2026
• Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-10-25?Yes · +$2 · Oct 25, 2026
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · +$4 · Oct 22, 2026
• Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes · +$1 · Oct 22, 2026
• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No · +$11 · Oct 16, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No · +$9 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · +$9 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will Palmeiras win Copa Libertadores?Yes · +$3 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes · -$10 · Oct 13, 2026

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