Elcappero · Polymarket wallet 0x77da…fb17

Wallet snapshot

Elcappero has made 34 trades on Polymarket across 33 markets, $147 in volume. Most of it is in sports (52%) and geopolitics (30%). On 25 resolved markets the win rate is 56%, lifetime P&L +$9. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?". Last trade: Jun 21, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $10 · 86¢ → 90¢
• US strike on Cuba by December 31?No · $9 · 49¢ → 89¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $6 · 86¢ → 98¢
• Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?No · $2 · 77¢ → 95¢
• Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy?No · $2 · 85¢ → 83¢
• Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Yes · $2 · 19¢ → 4¢
• Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No · $1 · 68¢ → 9¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Italy participate in Eurovision 2027?Yes · +$1 · Oct 28, 2026
• Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · +$5 · Jul 20, 2026
• Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · +$4 · Jun 29, 2026
• Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?Yes · +$2 · Jun 25, 2026
• Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?Yes · +$7 · Jun 23, 2026
• Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes · +$3 · Jun 22, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.