decoherence · Polymarket wallet 0x7572…4436

+$1,427 lifetime P&L · 63.6% win rate · 11 resolved markets · 0x7572384bc6063729b1120edc24f02ccd20564436

LIVE · AUTO-REFRESH 60S

Wallet snapshot

decoherence has made 34 trades on Polymarket across 28 markets, $3,437 in volume. Most of it is in politics (36%) and geopolitics (18%). On 11 resolved markets the win rate is 63.6%, lifetime P&L +$1,427. It holds 17 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?". Last trade: Nov 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?No · $935 · 31¢ → 98¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?No · $347 · 67¢ → 78¢
AI bubble burst in 2026?No · $338 · 83¢ → 93¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $109 · 73¢ → 79¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No · $94 · 56¢ → 52¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes · $71 · 27¢ → 39¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes · $65 · 67¢ → 88¢
Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election?Yes · $53 · 69¢ → 74¢
Aleksandar Vučić arrested by December 31, 2026?Yes · $45 · 19¢ → 14¢
Will Rene Haas be the next CEO of NVIDIA?Yes · $45 · 25¢ → 23¢

Latest closed positions

Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes · +$21 · Nov 5, 2026
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · +$8 · Nov 4, 2026
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · +$49 · Nov 4, 2026
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?No · +$66 · Nov 4, 2026
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No · -$68 · Oct 31, 2026
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?No · +$51 · Oct 30, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.