Arxon · Polymarket wallet 0x707b…115b

Wallet snapshot

Arxon has made 37 trades on Polymarket across 24 markets, $698 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (46%) and politics (29%). On 17 resolved markets the win rate is 58.8%. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?". Last trade: Jul 20, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $11 · 50¢ → 37¢
• US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes · $8 · 51¢ → 16¢
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $6 · 13¢ → 8¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No · $1 · 63¢ → 13¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes · $0 · 17¢ → 4¢

Latest closed positions

• Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?Yes · +$12 · Jul 25, 2026
• Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · +$59 · Jul 20, 2026
• Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?Yes · -$20 · Jun 13, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes · -$10 · Jun 13, 2026
• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes · -$16 · Jun 13, 2026
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes · -$5 · Jun 13, 2026
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.